Wednesday, March 13, 2013

NASCAR: Power Rankings — Bristol

Most power rankings are not scientific.

Mine are. Kind of.

Using an arbitrary formula I've come up with that combines both the statistics of the Sprint Cup series' previous five races and the series' previous five races at the upcoming track, I determine the strongest drivers heading into the upcoming weekend's NASCAR event.

It also doubles as a decent fantasy tool, if you decide you enjoy these rankings. Your mileage may vary, of course.

Here is how the drivers on this week's entry list rank:


1. Brad Keselowski
Performance Rating: 2.08

2. Brian Vickers
Performance Rating: 6.71

3. Kyle Busch
Performance Rating: 7.07

4. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
Performance Rating: 7.10

5. Jimmie Johnson
Performance Rating: 7.53

6. Carl Edwards
Performance Rating: 8.00

7. Matt Kenseth
Performance Rating: 8.40

8. Kevin Harvick
Performance Rating: 9.18

9. Greg Biffle
Performance Rating: 9.42

10. Denny Hamlin
Performance Rating: 9.95

11. Jeff Gordon
Performance Rating: 10.88

12. Clint Bowyer
Performance Rating: 12.57

13. Paul Menard
Performance Rating: 12.78

14. Kasey Kahne
Performance Rating: 13.18

15. Ryan Newman
Performance Rating: 13.75

16. Kurt Busch
Performance Rating: 16.42

17. Marcos Ambrose
Performance Rating: 17.15

18. Aric Almirola
Performance Rating: 17.30

19. Jamie McMurray
Performance Rating: 18.32

20. Martin Truex Jr.
Performance Rating: 18.38

21. Joey Logano
Performance Rating: 18.43

22. Jeff Burton
Performance Rating: 18.53

23. Tony Stewart
Performance Rating: 19.65

24. Juan Pablo Montoya
Performance Rating: 19.72

25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Performance Rating: 21.20

26. Bobby Labonte
Performance Rating: 22.70

27. Terry Labonte
Performance Rating: 23.85

28. A.J. Allmendinger
Performance Rating: 24.45

29. Danica Patrick
Performance Rating: 24.90

30. Casey Mears
Performance Rating: 25.70

31. Dave Blaney
Performance Rating: 27.30

32. Travis Kvapil
Performance Rating: 27.35

33. David Reutimann
Performance Rating: 27.57

34. J.J. Yeley
Performance Rating: 27.83

35. David Ragan
Performance Rating: 31.35

36. Landon Cassill
Performance Rating: 31.88

37. David Gilliland
Performance Rating: 31.95

38. Michael McDowell
Performance Rating: 33.05

39. David Stremme
Performance Rating: 34.05

40. Scott Speed
Performance Rating: 35.08

41. Josh Wise
Performance Rating: 38.18

42. Joe Nemechek
Performance Rating: 38.65

43. Mike Bliss
Performance Rating: 38.93

44. Scott Riggs
Performance Rating: 42.05


(Totally not confising at all) Explanation of the performance rating (PR):

Avg = average finish
Subscript R = last five races
Subscript U = last five races at upcoming track

X = ( AvgR * 3 +AvgT ) / 4

W = wins
F = Top-fives
T = Top-tens

PR = X - WR * 3 - FR / 2 - UR / 2 - WT - FT / 6 - UT / 6

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